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i certainly won't exclude that it's in the realm of possibilities... just that, lately, i'm finding it more and more unlikely.

twitter "authority" seems to me to be an even more difficult problem than blog authority, and even that was easily game-able.

besides, twitter doesn't even have the same social graph for me as facebook does, and facebook still has a pretty difficult time separating the wheat from the chaff.

if that breakthrough doesn't show up, it will be revolutionary. if it doesn't, the "real time web" might just be overhyped.



Remember we've only just recently managed to accumulate all this data in a mainstream way. It will take time for that breakthrough to happen, but it will happen.

Example: when AOL released their "anonymous" data, it took the NYT a few days to personally identify a user. It took humans, working on it for a good few hours, being creative, and produced only one data point (one person), but it still happened. We need to find ways to make deep data mining happen much faster... in real time :)

Emphasis on mainstream, by the way, because data mining is not a new field by any measure.




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