I think it has a chance of going both ways, what both you an TokenAdult were saying, depending on how they execute.
That said, there isn't any viable replacement out there yet, not even one that's at the very beginning stage with only a couple thousand users. My thinking is that even if Facebook executes mediocrely from here on out, Zuck is at least smart enough to keep the whole thing afloat until something else comes along that's seriously disruptive.
That's going to happen, but it just hasn't yet. You have to keep in mind that the thing that replaces Facebook isn't going to look anything like Facebook. If anything it's going to look more like Udacity, Starbucks, YouTube, etc.
> That said, there isn't any viable replacement out there yet, not even one that's at the very beginning stage with only a couple thousand users.
I would say that Google+ is probably both viable and has more than a "couple thousand of users", though right now it certainly isn't getting enough traction to threaten facebook.
But if something caused a mass exodus from Facebook, Google+ would probably benefit a lot. Either that, or some new entrant.
That said, there isn't any viable replacement out there yet, not even one that's at the very beginning stage with only a couple thousand users. My thinking is that even if Facebook executes mediocrely from here on out, Zuck is at least smart enough to keep the whole thing afloat until something else comes along that's seriously disruptive.
That's going to happen, but it just hasn't yet. You have to keep in mind that the thing that replaces Facebook isn't going to look anything like Facebook. If anything it's going to look more like Udacity, Starbucks, YouTube, etc.