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> There's this hope that if only for the fragmentation, Linux might finally have Photoshop or whatever.

If Adobe builds Photoshop for Red Hat and make it run only on Red Hat, people wanting to use Photoshop will install Red Hat. The big problem is what happens when Microsoft makes Excel work perfectly on Ubuntu and only on Ubuntu.



> The big problem is what happens when Microsoft makes Excel work perfectly on Ubuntu and only on Ubuntu.

This is basically how Steam still works, pending the release of SteamOS 3.0, and it hasn't been a problem for other distros. They can sub in their own libs and repackage the thing or use an Ubuntu chroot.

This is what Snap and Flatpak are for though, and I think they'll handle it well, going forward.




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