In the next 100yrs the north polar ice will melt enough that China can go around the top to it's trading partners. The strait of Malacca next to Malaysia will stop being as critically important as it is now to China's oil imports.
It's likely the SEA region will cool off, the action will move up north and all those subs we bought will go from AUKUS to AWKWARD.
Aus just needs to cut costs and forward into quality (koalaity?) manufacturing and science. Or we could just keep ripping up the ground like a bulldozer on a bender and hope China doesn't tank the iron ore price.
Oh, I didn't read your post properly. For some reason I thought you were talking about routes opening due to sea level rising.
The northern sea route is not given the same scrutiny as the strait in that video though. Clearly if western allies were blockading China's sea trade at choke points, the sea route has some fairly obvious problems.
It's the defensible inland routes which will be the most important. To that end, the push to expand NATO into Ukraine almost could not have gone better for China if they had orchestrated it.
It's likely the SEA region will cool off, the action will move up north and all those subs we bought will go from AUKUS to AWKWARD.
Aus just needs to cut costs and forward into quality (koalaity?) manufacturing and science. Or we could just keep ripping up the ground like a bulldozer on a bender and hope China doesn't tank the iron ore price.