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What's my place in the world population? (population.io)
123 points by giuliomagnifico on March 17, 2022 | hide | past | favorite | 140 comments


There seems no statement about privacy, which seems necessary for a server-side application that accepts DOB, country and gender informations.


There is also a Facebook request that encodes your data (I used fake data here):

https://www.facebook.com/tr/?id=1249359911880793&ev=PageView...


Q: What does the website admin get out of adding this to their website?


Audiences in their Facebook Ads account they can filter / target.


this will be costly for them


it has an "Impressum" link that's broken. Parent(?) company is says this about themself:

> World Data Lab (WDL) is a data enterprise which produces the most consistent and credible estimates for spending and demography. Our data models are global, granular, and forward looking and track the Sustainable Development Goals in real time, helping provide unique insights for businesses. Our research has appeared on CNN, in the Economist, and the Financial Times. Our clients include HSBC, L'Oreal, and Citibank. Our advisory board includes leading representatives of the World Bank, Brookings Institution, and academia.

yikes!


I always enter slightly wrong data into sites like this.


Now I really regret putting my data into this system...


Do it again with fake data and emjoy the targeted ads for private helicopters and gold toilets.


I don't see any ads anyways so I should be good :D And Facebook probably still has my date of birth from my now long deleted account, so I guess no real damage was done, yeehaa.


Why would you ever tell the truth to a site like this, no matter the privacy policy?

Three Dead Trolls in a Baggie had a song about this about 20 years ago.

"Whatever you do when they're talking to you, for god's sake lie"

You can get useful info just slightly wrong, and it's for entertainment purposes anyway, so lie.


And always run them in a private tab so they have less data to correlate.


None of those things are considered Personally Identifiable Information unless associated with a name or something similar, at least according to all the PII training I had when working for the government.


At best, it's a bad practice to collect personal information without a privacy policy. IANAL so I can't say much beyond that.


What do you think this data can be used for?


As said by another poster, this data can be used with other information to identify you and potentially breach your security.

There's a nice, and a little bit terrifying, podcast that goes in detail on techniques used to obtain and hack people that are worth hacking. (https://darknetdiaries.com/episode/112/) This episode specifically.


Personally identifiable information (PII) doesn't necessarily have a meaning in isolation but can identify the personal identity when combined somehow. So any website that operates on PII needs to have some sort of privacy policy no matter what it does to PII.


Interestingly, it doesn't use cookies or local storage.


Same idea, but for income: https://howrichami.givingwhatwecan.org/how-rich-am-i

Most people are blown away when they do this.


In Tokyo Japan, with a very high COL, our family unit makes just shy of 100,000 USD. By our living standards we are lower middle-class. We don't own house, car, assets. We can't afford a pet yet (cat maybe, but I am allergic) and no major vacations except day trips.

Yet this site says I am in the top 1%. Makes me hard to believe such stats sadly.


If you asked people around the world where they would like to live, Tokyo, Japan would be near the top of the list. That's what you are paying for. If you made a choice to live in Detroit, USA you'd have more money for cars, etc.

Choosing to live in a very expensive place doesn't alter how wealthy you are, only how you spend that wealth.


I think this is partly true and partly not. If we view living in a HCOL area as a benefit, then it should offset other compensation. People should be willing to live in these super-desirable areas at lower salaries than they would get elsewhere. This dynamic definitely exists: rural healthcare facilities have to pay quite a lot to attract doctors who would prefer the big city. But we also see the opposite. The compensation packages necessary to entice e.g. tech workers from the Midwest to the worst coastal markets are like 300% higher. This suggests people are not exactly seeing a huge subjective/experiential benefit to living in those markets and it is more like a localized form of inflation.


You are on a very high salary for Japan, are you living in a very expensive area? 100k GBP is a ton in the UK but won't go far in Central London.


Well yes, $100k a year is going to put you in the top 80 million earners.

It doesn't take into account the cost of living, especially the cost of land, that said living in Tokyo you'll have a far higher standard of living than someone living in rural China even setting aside cost of housing.


I think that the website tells you to provide yearly income in yens, but it treats the number as if it was USD. I got the info that I'm in top 1.2% when I input my salary in PLN.


Well, only 0.05 % of the world’s population live in Tokyo, so there’s no reason it wouldn’t make sense.


Slight correction: It’s closer to 0.2 % (assuming a population of ~14 million), I miscalculated in my head.


Maybe you live in enough big home in too convenient zone? Japan locals families tend to live smaller home where not too convenient to commute.


income rich but asset poor, yes, i am in the same situation here in germany.

either you inherit or you made some very smart (lucky) investments or you stay "poor".

and then there is the purchasing power and the size of the middle class in an economy.

i could live in china and be there the top 20%, but would be able to afford massages on a daily basis. i am here in germany the top 10% (nominally top 1% in china) and yet, i need to think if i can spend 500 euro per month on massages (once a week).


The only way to amass wealth is by investing a significant amount for a significant time. For example, when I worked in Vienna, I saved half of my income for 2 years.

Then, with that money I took a 3-year break in Romania just like that. Not the wisest investment, but I could have lived 4 years off that money.

In any case, saving is difficult with so much inflation, don't hold cash but something giving you a return. (Don't fall for bank products with 1-2% fees; they are no better than a 0.2%-fee index fund).

A basic book on personal finance that I recommend is The Richest Man in Babylon.


People are blown away because they think “How can anyone live on $3000 per year?”

There’s a whole market of cheap consumer goods produced for that income level. Household goods, electronics, clothing, etc.

As an example, if you are reading this your kitchen is probably stocked with ceramic plates. Why did you buy ceramic plates rather than plastic plates? Probably because at your income level, ceramic plates are an insignificant expense. However at $3000/year having a kitchen full of ceramic plates would be an extreme waste of money for insignificant benefit.

Multiply this by every purchasing decision. Why did you buy a $1000 phone instead of a $150 phone? Why do pay for eggs instead of keeping chickens? Why do you buy branded clothes instead of unbranded clothes that cost a fraction of the price?

I’m not saying that you should go out and buy plastic plates and a chicken. Just that not everybody on $3000 a year is living in poverty.

The biggest issue with earning that much is healthcare, which doesn’t scale well with income. Even if the doctor may be earning 5x less than they would in a rich country, the MRI machine certainly doesn’t cost 5x less.


Not to mention used goods. There are whole categories where I/we are used to spending money that poorer people will round to zero.

Take mattresses: My parents just bought a $700 mattress. My own mattress is a $200 IKEA model. Meanwhile a guy who does odd jobs for me sleeps on a hand-me-down I got him for free. We're all equally comfortable at night I'm guessing.

Another example: I tried to get rid of an old armoire from the 50s some time ago. Had to throw it in the garbage, couldn't give it away for free. I tried.

I'd much rather be wealthy than not, but you can definitely make a no-frills budget work if you get rid of the niceties as long as you have your health.


> As an example, if you are reading this your kitchen is probably stocked with ceramic plates.

Well actually it is plastic plates for us in Tokyo. Good ones, not the dollar store kinds - but not ceramic. We use consumer grade items.

The biggest chunk goes into rent & insurance along with city taxes (separate from income taxes). It scales non-linearly with income.


I wish instead of just counting tax it would e.g. add rent, too. Living in a big city your salary can look much more impressive than if you look at disposable income.


If you do it that way very wealthy people can appear to have average income.

"Yeah I make 2 million a year, but my mortgage is 25 thousand and my Aston Martin costs 4 grand!"

Truth is places are expensive beacuse they are desirable. Living in a tin shack in Africa without indoor plumbing isn't comparable to living in a posh flat in central London. We like to pretend that it is and call it cost of living, but it's really the standard of living that is different

With globalization this is even more true, with the rise of remote work doubly so.


Places are expensive because many people want to live there, not because the standard of living is higher. Income already accounts for most of the benefits.


Plug in the US poverty line for one person, $12,880, and you're in the richest 16.3%.

American poverty for a family of four, $26,500, and it's 6%.

This is more making the point that West is incredibly wealthy than anything about you in particular.


After going through several of these comments, and looking up some wealth statistics/wiki etc., I feel the overlooked/relevant metric is "Where do you stand within the 1%?" (or 10% if you choose a more generous economic bracket).

Looking at my own info (previous comment in thread), and therafter going through public data, I believe most of us in HN are already in that bracket due to disproportionate poverty seen in S Asia, Africa, S America & LATAM. That 1% number is presenting itself as a feel-good-number. We share the same bracket as Bill Gates, Jeff Bezos & Elon Musk - which does not make much sense, because they are 6-orders richer than us.

Wealth isn't seen in any linear/quasi-linear scale. The last few percentages are incredibly dense. Maybe the lifestyle near poverty line to moderate wealthy is easier to model from economics PoV, but beyond some thresholds, is hard to rationalize.


>The 1% number is presenting itself as a feel-good-number. We share the same bracket as Jeff Bezos & Elon Musk.

I don't think that's the point at all. The point is to show perspective that many people lack on how their income lines up with the majority of the world. I don't need a application to tell me that I make less than Jeff Bezos or where he ranks in terms of global income.

And makes perfect sense that we share the top 1% with the hyper rich because... We do!


really amazing, but unfortunately it caps out at the top 1%. Looking at the source data from 2013

The mean is around $2,000

The top 10% is around $15,000

The top 1% is around $44,000

The top 0.1% is around $100,000

The top 0.01% is around $200,000

the top 0.001% is around $350,000


USA 2 adults, 2 kids and $160k/year (post tax) puts you in the top 1%. USA 2 adults, 2 kids and $10 billion/year (post tax) also puts you in the top 1%.

To me, 160k vs 10 billion should show some difference. Do they do this to make as many people as possible have "one percenter" guilt? ( $130k returns 1.7% so there's at least one decimal point available )


"If you have a household income of $33,000 (in a household of 2 adults) You are in the richest 9.9% of the global population"

Really, almost 1 in 10 households with 2 people in the world make more than $33,000 USD/month after tax?

Not convinced, this isn't even close.

Edit: yes, I see now this is monthly. Leaving it as-is so the replies make sense.


This website asks for annual income, it says so below the income field.


Haha, thanks, I should read. My gut was it was off by a factor of about 10.


It is annual not monthly


Kind of sad seeing that i am now older than half of the population and still feeling young.


I’m older than 57% of the world, but only older than 36% of Germans, so I can keep feeling young here ;)


Being "old" but feeling young is probably the best combination there is.


Being physically young (and healthy) but with older maturity, experience and confidence would be my ideal


I think this is essentially what I meant - having the experience, confidence, wisdom etc that comes with age, but feeling (physically) younger than one's years.


> but feeling (physically) younger

I get the idea that 'feeling' young depends a lot on attitude but as a 60-year old (who tries to remain active) I understand that I no longer have the eyesight, hearing, coordination, balance and resilience of 20 year-old me. When I was younger lots of little health niggles, aches and pains would quickly go away, now they persist and have to be tolerated and exercised around. I think that 'feeling young' (which you rightly emphasize) is more about realistically accepting limitations and carrying on rather than self-deception that you aren't old.

[Edit] Another example of 'oldness'. I've been using keyboards and other UI devices for more than 40 years. My typing is pretty fast now, but gradual deterioration in memory and hand-eye coordination mean that I cannot navigate a mouse-based menu system as fast as I could once. This effect is significant for aging gamers in situations where actions-per-minute are important.


they say youth is wasted on the young


They also say experience is a new comb you get when you're already bald.


Yeah don’t use it if you feel depressed =]


look at the bright side: you could be feeling sick and elderly.


Why would that be sad?


After submitting the initial data, I'm getting an eternal spinner. Is the site struggling with the load?


> I'm getting an eternal spinner

At first I thought this was some form of existential dread stemming from seeing the date of your death :)


I got that when I accidentally entered the month as a number. When I refreshed and used the drop-down to select the month, it loaded immediately.


I’m not even getting a spinner.


Yeah it's very buggy, same thing is happening for me


Same here on both Chromium and Firefox, even with uBlock and Pi-hole disabled. Seems to be the site.


Please don't let an app tell you how long you will live; It's probably not good for your mental health.


It's just for fun. You can't take this kind of website serious.

There is a website that I know since the 90's called The Death Clock (http://deathclock.com). It's pretty much the same website since then.

The problem here is give your actual personal data to people you don't know how they will use it. So don't.

Btw, I'll die in:

- The Death Clock: April 2051;

- Population.io: July 2059

¯\_(ツ)_/¯


I am surprised they are so different. Have you compared it to an actuarial table from your country?


Bloody hell. It makes one request per country for the graph and it's struggling under the load. Definitely should be Cloudflaring that stuff. It's just a `GET` and it isn't going to change that much for the same params.


Yeah, kinda doubt it. Remember the number and then press refresh. You'll see it's just a pretty animation, not a live one. Also I am sure at least a few tens of million kids are not officially declared, especially in China, so I would say we are over 8 billions already.


Needs some error-handling in populating their template strings:

> Did you know that you share a birthday with about people around the world and that approximately people were born in the same hour?


Does this submit your info to the server? If so, I'm not really interested in sharing my birthday, country and gender with some random site.


In the spirit of teaching a man to fish, here's how you find out:

1. Open the page in Chrome

2. Hit F12

3. Select the Network tab, ensure "Preserve Log" is on

4. Enter first value for each entry

5. Click Go

6. Wait for request to show up before page displays

Report back if you feel like sharing


TIL! This'll be handy so damn often for me.


in Firefox?


Literally the same in FF and every other remotely recent non-cli browser out there.


Same, Persist Logs is available via cog menu.


Add some random error to your birthday. If your not using VPN or Tor every random site can already see your IP and geolocate it. You are likely male.


Country of birth and current location can be different, even if not using a VPN.


yes I think they should have asked only the year of birth, the day and month won't contribute much to the accuracy of the stats they provide.


This might be a reasonable practice but you must use A LOT less sites than me, as I'm sure I've had to give my DOB hundreds of times online.


given that anyone can put any date into that survey, yours or anyone else's, how does that matter?


Cool idea... not the best architecture. Tell me you don't know how to optimize webapps without telling me you don't know how to optimize webapps. Anyway just poking fun, hope the owner can figure out how to make things work.


And also tell me that you don’t test on either major mobile platforms.


Yeah does not work ok Chrome properly on Android.


I made a similar site for calculating your probability of living to a certain age and also likely causes of death - https://deathcalculator.app/


Apparently I have a 1239% chance of dying in the next year from self-harm and a 2481% chance from substance abuse. Seems about right.


Yea still a bit buggy on the causes lol...


The dropdown list for choosing the region is a huge mess. Sort it out please.


Awareness of mortality does seem to galvanize some people to action.


really curious if they're calculating my life expectancy based on my age, or just based on average lifespan in my country.


There are a lot of other factors that make dramatic differences too. For instance, here in Norway:

"Higher education - longer life expectancy

There are large social inequalities in mortality in Norway, where people with higher income, education and a job generally have the lowest mortality. It has been highlighted as a paradox that these differences are just as high in the Nordic countries as elsewhere in Europe, despite well-developed welfare systems with the same rights for all (Dahl, 2014).

    Men with higher education have 6.4 years longer life expectancy than men with primary education. For women, the difference is 5 years. See figure 5. 
If someone is married, has a higher education and has a spouse with a similar education level, life expectancy is 8-9 years higher than for unmarried people with primary education (Kravdal 2017)."

See https://www.fhi.no/en/op/hin/population/life-expectancy/


> a job

There's your key. It's not "a job", the job matters a lot. Higher income and education most often means a job that's easier on the body, and also likely more mentally stimulating (shown to increase QoL at old age and lifespan).


Maybe it will be good to have also regions other than countries, the website claims I will die at 89 years old and that data seems wrong for 3 reasons:

1. 3 out of 4 of my grandparents are still alive and are all over 90 years old

2. Living over 90y is quite common in my area, my neighbour is something like 105y and she still goes to cut wood on her own

3. Life expectancy tends to go up so I'm expected to live longer than my parents and grandparents

edit: formatting


>3. Life expectancy tends to go up so I'm expected to live longer than my parents and grandparents

I wouldn't be surprised to see that reverse in the coming years. The modern western diet isn't very healthy compared to what your grandparents grew up on.


I believe my diet is not too different from the one of my grandparents, at least compared to their diet in the last 20 years ( I can't remember before I was 10, and I don't know what they eat before I was born ). The "modern diet" hasn't really catchup here yet


You mean those grandparents who had childhood filled with debilitating diseases without vaccines and who were using asbestos in their young adult life? Pretty sure @maury91 going to live over 90 as he/she expects it. Genetics is still king in life expectancy.


> Genetics is still king in life expectancy.

Heard on the Lifespan podcast that recent studies of twins suggest genetics determine about 20% of your longevity, the rest is all environment / diet / lifestyle / stress etc.

I hope that's not been disproven by newer studies that I haven't heard about? Almost all of my grandparents and parents have already died at (much) younger than average age, and I am really hoping the science about this is right otherwise its not looking good for me.


My hometown I believe ticks all 4 of the things you mentioned. So I agree with you that genetics is a minor part of the equation

This is a personal anecdote of mine:

I lived in 3 nations: Sardinia ( hometown ), London and Vilnius. I do a lot of running and I love collecting data, something I noticed is that every time I go back to my hometown my VO2 max starts skyrocketing, after training as little as 3 weeks in my hometown it goes up by more than 10 points, when I go back it starts declining slowly until it goes back to slightly above the value when I left.

I do believe there must be something special about the environment, I do continue working from home when I'm in my hometown to stay longer, so it is not an holiday effect, my diet actually goes worst when I go back home because I go a lot to restaurants that I missed. And even with worst diet my fitness improves fast ( I run faster with same HR ( even for a while when I'm back ), VO2 and race predictor improves drastically), my stress goes down and my sleep score almost maxes out ( 98/100 )


If it’s so great (which it sounds like it from your description), then why don’t you just stay there?


Same reason why everyone leaves ( and at some point comes back ), career.

I did leave the first time ( for London ) for work, came back 3 years later but had to leave again because my wife had trouble find a job in Sardinia ( she doesn't speak Italian ), maybe we will go back to Sardinia in the future when both our careers will be fully remote


As I suspected. I know you say you’ve worked remotely from Sardinia, but have you thought that maybe your career is also a major factor along with environmental differences (which is definitely an issue with London due to air quality / weather alone)? Working remotely is often very different health wise than doing the same job in an office based on my anecdata experience (both working from home, but near-ish to my employer, for over a year, as well as spending a year on the road working remotely from an camper/RV).


The good thing is that I don't work in London from many years, now I'm working in Lithuania, air quality is way better than in London. From when covid hit being in the office has become the exception more than the norm ( we need to compile a form to being able to go the office ) so on the working remotely not much did change



I'm not from US, the article says "US life expectancy has not kept pace with that of other wealthy countries and is now decreasing."


Asbestos, leaded gasoline, various pesticides like DDT and there's a long list of stuff we banned.


And a long list of new technologies thay we have no idea the long term effects of.

I once confessed to a friend that I did not like my apartment being encircled with equidistant 5G towers due to possible standing waves, and he (probably rightfully) scoffed at me


We may not know the long term effects of many new things but our standards for health and safety testing along with increased ability to detect and treat many health problems early definitively give us a big leg up over past generations.


We don't know the long term effects of any invention, but...

At least we <<think>> of them and <<plan>> for them now.

Some stuff we can analyze based on similar materials, technologies, and we can extrapolate. We can even design tests to age them and see what happens.

There's a reason everything is more complex these days, because we're starting to add a magic word to everything: <<sustainability>> (i.e.: does it kill us directly or or does it kill the environment around us, ergo killing us indirectly?).

Ignoring this aspect would mean that we assume humans never learn, which is provably false.


5G spectrum is various bands from 700MHz -> 95GHz [1]. So the corresponding wavelengths range from 45cm down to 3mm - if constructive interference is a concern than rather than worry about the siting of your apartment it's the positioning of your sofa and how deeply you breathe that matters.

[1] https://www.rfpage.com/what-are-5g-frequency-bands/


thanks for this link, and the context


> 1. 3 out of 4 of my grandparents are still alive and are all over 90 years old > > 2. Living over 90y is quite common in my area, my neighbour is something like 105y and she still goes to cut wood on her own

Just because a few people live longer doesn't necessarily invalidate the statistics. Even if your genetics and living environment allow for a healthy lifestyle, there's still a chance that you're killed by an accident or crime in the next half century. So 89 years seems like a good estimate, even if your environment theoretically allows you to live longer.

Also, technically, your life expectancy will rise the longer you life :-)


Being murdered in my province requires some effort, last homicide in my city was ~40 years ago. That murder was so unexpected that it had repercussions that are still in place today


It's highly unlikely, but they could "make sure" of it. That's why you don't use your real information on sketchy websites :P


It will be enough just to differentiate between Italy and Sardinia, they are very different


Big props to the elderly lady cutting her own wood.


A more-important metric is "How Rich Am I?" - which will blow your mind. The world income distribution is exceptionally unequal and this chart will make it very clear (plus a call to action).

https://howrichami.givingwhatwecan.org/how-rich-am-i


The site was broken for me, likely because of blockers. So they didn’t give me results but I didn’t give them real data. Fair trade.


Does not work on Android Firefox. I have -30 years to live and the other stats are all empty: You are (nothing)% etc.


Does not work for me when clicking "go". I seem some 403 errors in the console, that's all.


I cannot enter my son’s birth date, wanted to look at a hopeful picture :)


Would be interesting to see a picture of your place relative to all humans ever. I was shocked when I learned that approximately 7% of all humans ever are alive right now.


I tried to use it twice and the second time, the app ignored my input and used the same as my first input.


expected age -34.0 years left

Hmm


How are you going to pay your debt?


I have to apologise to the parent commenter, I laughed inappropriately hard at that.

Still, quite confronting to see how much time you have left statistically. For me it got me to change careers. I figured if I still had 30 work left before retirement, I might as well.


I grant you one more year, my boy. Use it well.


takes about 2 minutes and only half the content loads in. this doesn't need to be built with javascript.

would be better to make a single db request and refresh the page with my results instead of staring at a spinner while a million ajax requests flounder in the background.


Is JavaScript really the bottleneck here?


How do I get my data out of this with GDPR?


How would they know that it's your data?


their ignorance is no excuse for escaping the law.


That's ridiculous.


Are you arguing a website can collect as much data as they want without respecting GDPR so long there’s no way to directly attribute the data to who provided it?


Yes absolutely, data has to be tied to an identifiable subject to be covered by GDPR. Are you arguing a website should make data identifiable when it otherwise doesn't have to be, just to support subject access or deletion requests? That's clearly contrary to the spirit of the law.


Seems to be buckling under the load, I'm getting timeouts and missing figures.


Yes, because of some missing numbers I got the quite amusing sentence: “There are people older than you and people younger than you”


"It was the best of times, it was the worst of times, it was the age of wisdom, it was the age of foolishness, it was the epoch of belief, it was the epoch of incredulity, it was the season of light, it was the season of darkness, it was the spring of hope, it was the winter of despair."


It was a fall of delight, an autumn of auspiciousness.

Sorry, couldn't help myself.


Few minutes ago worked fine. Could be “the hacker news effect” ;-) try later.


Yeah it never stops loading for me as well right now. Will also try later.


Same here. To many people.


Meh, it only does global population which isn't meaningful. Most of the world has much lower rent because there isn't a constant flow of immigrants competing for a small number of very expensive, carefully zoned single family houses who's prices are propped up with cheap credit.




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