Your question implies a sense of moral outrage about gambling so I don't if it was asked in good faith or not.
Kalshi was on my radar because of Tim Walz dropping out the Minnesota governor race and an article about who would replace him being wagered on prediction markets, coincidently this was during a boring part of January after a snow storm and so weather was on my mind.
You can wager on aggregate precipitation, high and low temp, etc. The price is a binary contract between two parties with the market taker paying a small percent fee, so the conclusion you make that it "seems like a roundabout way to lose money" was not the conclusion I drew then nor believe that conclusion to be true even now, being a market maker using a trivial model from one-day forecast data was break-even for me.
I hope OP took more effort in making Viva understand the problem than the obvious zero effort it took writing this post, given it is completely AI generated.
I would suggest reading into the history of South Korea after the war. Nothing suggests to me that it was a good outcome. As a small sample: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gwangju_Uprising
This article is akin to pondering if people should cook their own meth because the dealer they used to have is now selling adulterated stuff that's less powerful.
You don't need ordering guarantees for diffs: apply them out of order and the final result should be the same (that's one of the key properties of CRDTs).
So why do you need timestamps? Or, why do you even need a third party server to run HME to begin with? Why not just encrypt the data and let the client figure it out?
Which one do you have in mind? For each of those three constraints mentioned, I can think of a reason why it's not like the other two, but there's not one in particular that seems to stick out especially.
reply